European Investment Trust JEDT well positioned as inflation falls

JEDT

JPMorgan European Discovery Trust plc (LON:JEDT) has announced its September commentary.

Monthly

As of 2023/09/30

  • The trust underperformed its benchmark over September.
  • Positive contributors to relative returns included stock selection in construction and materials and stock selection and an underweight position in medical equipment and services.
  • Detractors included stock selection and an overweight position in household goods and home construction and stock selection in retailers.
  • At the stock level, an overweight position in Bravida, a Swedish multi-technical services company, outperformed as the stock rebounded from earlier months following the chief executive officer’s statement that there is a general weakening in Nordic construction and installation markets.
  • An overweight position in BPER Banca, an Italian banking group, outperformed as the company continues to have strong tailwinds from increasing interest rates.
  • On the other hand, an overweight position in Zalando, a German online fashion retailer, underperformed as warm weather and a squeeze on consumer budgets have delayed the start of the autumn season, leading to more discounting.
  • An overweight position in Verallia, a French manufacturer of glass packaging, underperformed as supply seems to have reached a balance with demand, raising questions about the sustainability of Verallia’s pricing power.

Looking Ahead

As of 2023/09/30

  • After nearly two years of a squeeze on consumer wallets and a swift rise in interest rates, recent data points suggest that inflation has likely peaked and is gradually falling to more manageable levels.
  • However, we have a somewhat conservative outlook. The risks to the European economy have certainly not disappeared, and a quick look at various macroeconomic indicators points to diminishing economic momentum.
  • While we believe that recession risk remains, an economic slowdown may still be relatively shallow in depth and short in duration.

JPMorgan European Discovery Trust plc (LON:JEDT) is an investment trust company. The Investment Trust JEDT objective is to achieve capital growth from a portfolio of quoted smaller companies in Europe, excluding the United Kingdom.

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