Europe’s defence revival and tariff pause spark market momentum

JPMorgan European Discovery Trust plc

Europe’s markets are lighting up with renewed investor enthusiasm as two key developments send a powerful signal, tariff tensions are temporarily easing, and the continent’s defence industry is entering a new era of strategic importance. This potent combination is revving up equity performance and repositioning key sectors for potential long-term growth.

European equities rallied as the anticipated imposition of a steep 50% U.S. tariff on EU goods was unexpectedly postponed. This strategic pause in transatlantic trade tensions immediately lifted sentiment, creating breathing room for high-stakes negotiations and giving a green light to investors seeking clarity. Major indices across the region responded with force, the STOXX 600 extended gains for a second day, Germany’s DAX hit a record high, and the FTSE 100 returned from a holiday with a strong 1% climb. Investors interpreted the delay not as a reversal but as a valuable window, one that may signal scope for diplomatic progress rather than immediate economic disruption.

Yet it was Europe’s defence sector that stole the spotlight. With rising geopolitical tensions, particularly around Russia, European nations are accelerating military budgets and prioritising strategic defence capabilities. The market responded decisively. Defence-linked shares surged as the sector gained 1.4%, led by notable moves in companies supplying advanced weapons systems, armoured vehicles, and aerospace innovation. This renewed focus on security infrastructure has shifted defence from a reactive sector to a cornerstone of future fiscal planning. For investors, it represents a rare alignment of public policy and private opportunity.

The automotive industry also showed clear signs of relief. Giants like Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz registered share price increases ranging from 2% to 5%, a sharp reversal from prior weeks of downward pressure tied to trade war anxieties. With the looming tariff off the immediate agenda, European automakers found a reprieve to regain traction, offering a tactical opportunity for investors betting on cyclical rebounds and global demand stability.

Beyond equities, forex and bond markets reinforced the wave of optimism. The euro gained ground against the dollar, and yields on government bonds softened as capital flowed back into European assets. Sterling climbed to a multi-year high, a signal that investors are rewarding geopolitical calm and monetary predictability.

Europe’s markets have found new momentum through a combination of strategic defence expansion and a reprieve from tariff shocks. The short-term gains may well be a prelude to more structural shifts in how Europe manages security, trade, and industrial autonomy. For investors, the signals are clear: this is a region reasserting its resilience and recalibrating its role in the global investment landscape.

JPMorgan European Discovery Trust plc is an investment trust company. The Investment Trust JEDT objective is to achieve capital growth from a portfolio of quoted smaller companies in Europe, excluding the United Kingdom.

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