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Provident Financial Group

Provident Financial expect to report full-year results in line with market expectations

Provident Financial plc (LON: PFG), the leading provider of credit products to those consumers who are not well served by mainstream lenders, makes the following update on trading for the financial year ended 31 December 2019, ahead of its preliminary results for the year which will be announced on 27 February 2020.

Fourth quarter trading

The group has delivered results in line with internal plans during the fourth quarter of the year. Vanquis Bank has delivered results modestly above expectations due to favourable delinquency and tight cost control. Moneybarn has continued to deliver attractive receivables growth although performed modestly below internal plan as a result of higher impairment, primarily reflecting the stronger than forecast growth in the year. CCD finished the year well and has delivered results in line with plan. Accordingly, the group expects to report profits for 2019 as a whole in line with market expectations*.

Funding update

Consistent with the group’s strategy set out at the Capital Markets Day in November to diversify its funding base and lower the overall cost of funding, the group has agreed a bilateral securitisation facility with NatWest Markets to fund Moneybarn business flows. The new facility provides up to £100m of initial funding and is anticipated to grow to £275m over the next 18 months. The facility provides a comparable funding rate to the revolving credit facility which reduced from £450m to £235m in July 2019.

Commenting on the final quarter of the year, Malcolm Le May, Provident Financial Chief Executive Officer, said:

“I am very pleased that the group has continued to perform well in the final quarter and we expect to report full-year results in line with market expectations.

I am also delighted to announce that we have now agreed a bilateral securitisation facility to fund Moneybarn’s business flows, further diversifying our funding sources, reducing the group’s funding costs and supporting the group’s medium-term growth ambitions.

We are well placed entering 2020 to continue to meet our customers’ needs and deliver against the targets set out at our Capital Markets Day in November.”

*Market expectations in this announcement represent a mean consensus 2019 group profit before tax, amortisation of acquisition intangibles and exceptional items of £162m with a range of £155m to £166m based on the forecasts published by 12 equity research analysts.

Neil Shah, Director at Edison Group said: “Provident Financial’s trading update results are in line with initial estimates fuelled by Vanquis’s slightly above expected results on the back of favourable delinquency rates, but held back by its car and financing arm Moneybarn’s lower than expected growth and the costs of the takeover battle with Non-Standard Finance. However, the recent bilateral securitisation agreement with NatWest, will clearly take some pressure off the underperforming Moneybarn, enabling  Provident Financial to increase business flows as well as reduce the Group’s overall funding costs.

“Following a challenging period including earnings uncertainty, the Group’s future success will heavily depend on its ability to reposition the business as well as stabilise profits and earnings. Provident is trading at a healthy 9.8x FY 2019 earnings with an expected ROE in the mid-teens. We still believe there is value in the business, but it will likely be only for braver investors until there is greater clarity over the success of the Group’s strategy.”

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