Altimmune, Inc. (ALT) Stock Analysis: A Biotech with 363% Potential Upside

Broker Ratings

Altimmune, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALT) has garnered significant attention from investors, primarily due to its robust potential upside and its strategic focus on high-demand healthcare sectors. With a market capitalization of $327.43 million, this Gaithersburg, Maryland-based biotech firm is diligently working on groundbreaking treatments for obesity and metabolic diseases, positioning itself at the forefront of a burgeoning industry.

Altimmune’s current stock price sits at $3.71, a figure that belies its potential. The stock has experienced a modest price change of 0.04 (0.01%) recently, but the 52-week range highlights a broader fluctuation between $3.38 and $9.85, an indicator of past volatility and current investor sentiment.

Delving into Altimmune’s financials, the absence of a P/E ratio, both trailing and forward, alongside other valuation metrics such as PEG, Price/Book, and Price/Sales, underscores its status as a clinical-stage company yet to turn a profit. The forward P/E of -2.66 and an EPS of -1.18 reflect the ongoing investment in R&D and the operational costs associated with its developmental pipeline.

Performance metrics further illustrate the challenges Altimmune faces. With zero revenue growth, a negative return on equity of -55.91%, and a free cash flow deficit of $49.8 million, the company is clearly in a phase of heavy investment. These figures are typical for a biotech firm at this stage, where the focus is on clinical trials and product development rather than immediate profitability.

Analyst ratings, however, paint a more optimistic picture. With eight buy ratings, one hold, and one sell, the consensus is largely positive. The average target price of $17.20 suggests a staggering potential upside of 363.61%, driven by Altimmune’s lead product candidate, pemvidutide. This GLP-1/glucagon dual receptor agonist is in Phase 3 trials, targeting obesity and metabolic-associated steatohepatitis—conditions with substantial market demand.

Technical indicators provide further insights. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $4.22 and $5.91, respectively, indicate current price levels are below both averages, which can be a technical buying opportunity for some investors. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 64.81 is nearing overbought territory, suggesting caution in the short term. Meanwhile, the MACD and signal line figures at -0.16 and -0.22, respectively, hint at a bearish trend but with the potential for reversal as market conditions evolve.

For investors considering Altimmune, the absence of dividends and a payout ratio of 0.00% highlight the company’s reinvestment strategy, focusing financial resources on advancing its clinical programs rather than returning capital to shareholders at this juncture.

Altimmune, Inc. represents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity. Its focus on developing treatments for obesity and liver diseases, potent target price potential, and strong buy-side analyst consensus make it a compelling case for investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon. As the company progresses with its clinical trials, the ability to navigate regulatory landscapes and achieve successful outcomes will be pivotal in realizing the substantial upside forecasted by market analysts.

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