Astrana Health Inc. (ASTH) Stock Analysis: A Healthcare Contender with 91% Potential Upside

Broker Ratings

Astrana Health Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTH), a prominent player in the healthcare sector, is attracting considerable attention from investors due to its significant growth potential. With a market capitalization of $1.16 billion, this medical care facilities company is making waves in the industry, especially with a potential upside of 91.02% based on analyst projections.

Astrana Health has undergone significant transformations, including a rebranding from Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. to its current name in February 2024. Headquartered in Alhambra, California, Astrana provides comprehensive medical care services through its Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement segments. The company’s broad network caters to a diverse patient base, including those covered by private insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, and even non-insured individuals.

The company’s stock is currently priced at $25.07, with a modest increase of 0.04% recently, and it has experienced a volatile 52-week range between $24.00 and $62.54. While the P/E ratio is not available, the forward P/E stands at a promising 11.09, indicating a potentially undervalued stock relative to its future earnings.

Astrana Health’s financial performance is underscored by a formidable revenue growth rate of 53.40%, although the absence of net income data and a negative free cash flow of approximately $49.4 million highlight some challenges. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is currently at 0.73, coupled with a return on equity of 8.10%, suggesting efficient management of shareholder funds.

Interestingly, the company does not currently offer a dividend, with a payout ratio of 0.00%, pointing towards a strategy focused on reinvestment and growth rather than distributing profits to shareholders.

Analyst sentiment towards Astrana Health is predominantly positive, with 8 buy ratings and 3 hold ratings. The target price range is set between $36.00 to $70.00, with an average target of $47.89, underscoring the stock’s potential for significant appreciation. This optimism is further reflected in the technical indicators, despite the current stock price being below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $28.15 and $38.37, respectively. The RSI (14) of 73.54 suggests that the stock is in overbought territory, which might indicate a potential price correction in the short term.

Astrana Health’s MACD and signal line values of -0.82 and -0.93, respectively, could denote bearish momentum, yet the overall analyst consensus points towards a bright future. For investors seeking opportunities within the healthcare sector, Astrana Health presents a compelling case with its growth trajectory and strategic positioning in the market.

As Astrana continues to expand its healthcare services and network, investors will want to keep a close eye on its ability to translate revenue growth into profitability and manage its cash flow effectively. With a strong analyst backing and a clear vision for growth, Astrana Health Inc. is a stock worth watching closely.

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