Norcros plc Exploring the Growth Trajectory with Equity Development

Norcros

Norcros Plc (LON:NXR) has seen its target priced increased this week by Research company Equity Development.

Positioning for Growth in a Rebounding Market

As global economies begin to show signs of recovery, market sentiment is increasingly focused on the earnings potential of firms poised for growth. Norcros plc, a prominent player in the bathroom and kitchen products sector, is capitalising on this trend. The company has recently held a Capital Markets Day (CMD) that timely aligns with the market’s readiness to reassess mid-cycle earnings scenarios. With a robust business model that remains fundamentally unchanged, Norcros is strategically poised to leverage growth accelerators in its core product groups, further enhanced by tactical mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Equity Development has raised its fair value estimate to 257p per share, reflecting these positive developments.

Strategic Refresh: Aiming High with Calculated Precision

Norcros has reaffirmed its dedication to its four strategic pillars at the recent CMD, introducing specific financial targets. These include achieving organic revenue growth above market rates and expanding profit margins. By leveraging its significant market positions and scaling advantages across the company and group levels, Norcros is focusing on new product development, sales channel synergies, and operational efficiencies as primary growth drivers.

The decision to exit UK tile manufacturing, marked by the sale of Johnson Tiles UK, underscores a strategic shift that enhances the group’s earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin by approximately 100 basis points and return on capital employed (ROCE) by about 50 basis points. This disposal aligns with Norcros’ streamlined focus and augments its financial targets under the refreshed strategy.

Financial Framework and Market Valuation

The company’s financial performance continues to impress, with recent fiscal projections showing robust earnings and consistent dividend payouts. Despite an earnings contraction in FY24 due to strategic disposals and market conditions, Norcros anticipates recovery and growth in subsequent years. The company’s share price has responded positively, approaching the analysts’ revised fair value of 233p per share, with further upside potential indicated by broader market comparisons suggesting a fair value closer to 400p per share under peer group average earnings multiples.

ESG Commitments: Integral to Corporate Strategy

Norcros is intensifying its focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria, which now form an integral part of its strategic framework. The company has set ambitious targets for reducing its carbon footprint and enhancing sustainability across its operations, aligning with broader industry and societal shifts towards environmental responsibility.

Looking Ahead: Strategic Acquisitions and Organic Growth

With a clear strategy for both organic growth and expansion through acquisitions, Norcros is well-positioned to capitalize on its strong market presence and operational efficiencies. The company’s management remains committed to driving shareholder value through strategic initiatives aimed at maintaining and extending market leadership in its core segments.

Norcros plc presents an attractive investment opportunity as it continues to navigate the post-pandemic market landscape with strategic acumen and operational excellence. Investors are advised to closely monitor the company’s execution of its strategic goals and the potential impacts on its financial performance and market valuation.

Equity Development said, “Market sentiment is rapidly re-focusing on earnings potential in an improving economic cycle. Norcros’ CMD was well-timed with this increasing willingness to consider mid-cycle earnings scenarios. Norcros is targeting accelerators to boost organic growth in core bathroom and kitchen product groups to be supplemented by M&A activity.

The CMD reiterated the company’s four strategic pillars and added financial targets including organic, above market revenue growth and margin expansion. Leading market positions and scale at both company and group levels are the  platform and new product development, sales channel cross-referrals and operational excellence are the key enablers.

Norcros has announced the proposed disposal of Johnson Tiles UK for an expected £1m (plus potential deferred consideration) with a related exceptional impairment charge of £15m. We have adjusted revenue estimates accordingly with profitability unchanged, however the disposal increases both the pro forma group EBIT margin by c.100bp and group ROCE by c.50bp.

We can see a pathway to a higher valuation, but for now raise our fair value for the company to 257p per share.

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