# Virgin Money UK delivers growth in new accounts, deposits and target lending

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/virgin-money-uk-delivers-growth-in-new-accounts-deposits-and-target-lending/4121141120
- Published: 2024-02-06T08:09:15+00:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

**Virgin Money UK plc** (LON:VMUK) has announced its first quarter 2024 trading 
update.

| **Summary financials** |  | ** ** | **Q1 2024** | **FY 2023** | **Change** | **Q1 2023** | **Change** | 
|  |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  | 
|  |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  | 
| **Key growth metrics (£’m)** |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Mortgages |  |  | 57,112 |  | 57,497 | (0.7)% | 58,402 | (2.2)% | 
| Business |  | ** ** | 9,017 |  |           8,738 | 3.2% | 8,449 | 6.7% | 
| Unsecured |  |  | 6,703 |  | 6,519 | 2.8% | 6,219 | 7.8% | 
| **Customer lending** |  |  | **72,832** | ** ** | **72,754** | **0.1%** | **73,071** | **(0.3)%** | 
| **Customer deposits** |  |  | **67,308** | ** ** | **66,609** | **1.0%** | **66,153** | **1.7%** | 
| **Key performance metrics** |  |  | ** ** |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Net interest margin (NIM) |  |  | 1.89% |  | 1.91% | (0.02)% | 1.89% | – | 
| Cost:income ratio excluding notable items (CIR) |  |  | 52% |  | 52% | – | 53% | 1% | 
| Cost of risk (CoR) |  |  | 35bps |  | 42bps | 7bps | 36bps | 1bp | 
| Transitional Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio |  |  | 14.0% |  | 14.7% | (0.7)% | 15.0% | (1.0)% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |

> **_David Duffy, Virgin Money UK Chief Executive Officer:_**
> “We have made a positive start to the year, with strong Q1 results in line with
> our guidance. We’ve delivered growth in new accounts, deposits and target lending
> segments, at stable margins and with ongoing cost efficiencies. We are encouraged
> by both our customers’ resilience and improving sentiment in the mortgage market
> as interest rates have peaked. We carry good momentum into 2024 as we continue
> to successfully execute our strategy.”

**Q1 Summary: Good business momentum, in-line with FY24 guidance**

Targeted growth in customer lending; deposit mix remains stable

 * Mortgages 0.7% lower in Q1 at £57.1bn, reflecting disciplined approach to trading
   in subdued market; early signs that market activity has improved in January, 
   increasing back to 2019 levels
 * Business lending growth of 3.2%, driven by strong demand at good margins in our
   sector specialisms
 * Unsecured lending increased 2.8% in Q1 to £6.7bn, driven by 4.1% growth in credit
   card lending, with growth in retail spend year-on-year and stable repayment rates
 * Deposits 1.0% higher in Q1 at £67.3bn, with overall deposit mix stable relative
   to Q4 23
 * Further growth in total active relationship customer accounts (+27k net during
   Q1) to 3.8m
 * Successfully migrated all existing Virgin Money Investments (VMI) customers onto
   new digital platform; launched new pension proposition with good initial customer
   reaction

Stable Net Interest Margin (NIM); FY24 NIM guidance of 190-195bps unchanged

 * NIM stable in Q1 at 189bps (Q4 23: 189bps), with benefits from structural hedge
   reinvestment rate and ongoing cards EIR outperformance offset by mortgage spread
   pressure and deposit competition
 * Expect NIM to be resilient over remainder of year, including reduced rate expectations

Cost:income ratio (CIR) stable as execution of our savings programme absorbed ongoing
inflation

 * Q1 CIR of 52% (excluding notable items); continue to expect broadly stable CIR
   in FY24
 * Closed 39 stores and reduced office property footprint by c.35% in Q1, supporting
   gross savings
 * Good progress towards making increasing use of cost-effective geographies for
   outsourced activities
 * Further drive towards digital customer engagement, including withdrawal of passbooks
   from savings

Credit quality remains solid; provision coverage modestly higher

 * Overall arrears trends remain broadly consistent with FY23; credit card arrears
   continue to gradually increase in line with expectations, reflecting ongoing 
   maturation and diversification
 * Provisions up to £639m (Q4 23: £617m) given change in loan mix; coverage 3bps
   higher to 87bps
 * £64m impairment charge in Q1, equivalent to 35bps CoR; continue to expect 30-
   35bps for FY24

Strong capital position supports ongoing shareholder distributions and growth opportunities

 * £150m share buyback announced in November 2023 was 34% complete at end of January
 * CET1 ratio lower at 14.0%, reflecting ongoing profitability offset by full c.
   60bps impact of £150m buyback and £0.3bn higher RWAs; fully loaded CET1 ratio
   now 13.8%
 * Continue to expect 13-13.5% CET1 in FY24, with FY24 distributions around the 
   FY23 nominal level, including further buybacks to be announced during H2, subject
   to Board and regulatory approval
 * Issued new £350m AT1 and £500m RMBS; reduced TFSME by £1.2bn in Q1

**Overview**

The Group delivered good business momentum in Q1, supported by accelerated strategic
execution, including growth in target lending segments, stable margins despite rates
peaking and robust credit quality. Ongoing delivery against our restructuring programme
is supporting our stable cost performance, despite inflation, and we are proceeding
with our new FCPP^([1]), as announced at FY23 results. The £150m share buyback programme
announced in November is progressing well and we anticipate announcing further distributions
this year, given our resilient capital position, as we normalise our CET1 to 13-
13.5% by FY24.

The Group remains confident in its medium-term outlook and is focused on delivering
double-digit statutory returns to drive value for shareholders. This will be supported
through the execution of our strategy and leveraging the power of the brand, including
growth in return accretive segments, greater cost-efficiency through digitisation,
ongoing balance sheet resilience and sustainable capital distributions to shareholders.
We look forward to communicating the next phase of our strategy at a Capital Markets
Day later this year.

**Pioneering Growth**

Mortgage balances reduced by 0.7% in Q1 to £57.1bn, as we maintained discipline 
in a subdued market, with our c.3.5% market share unchanged. Application spreads
improved during Q1, despite customer pricing trending lower, but remained below 
the spread of maturing balances. The Group is trading nimbly to optimise performance,
including the launch of our innovative new ‘Fix and Switch’ range, along with our
new premium broker service, delivering an enhanced experience and a larger pipeline
of recommended cases. There are early signs in January that market activity has 
improved, including market applications volumes more in line with 2019 levels within
both residential lending and more recently buy-to-let. Looking ahead, the Group 
expects customer sentiment in mortgages to continue to improve, given the emergence
of more positive trends at lower customer rates.

Business lending increased by 3.2% in Q1 to £9.0bn, as the Group maintained good
momentum in BAU balances, which increased 4.2% to £8.5bn, more than offsetting a
10.5% reduction in Government-scheme balances to £0.6bn. This performance was supported
by strong demand at good margins in our resilient national sector specialisms and
market segments, and our relationship manager-led approach. We maintain a robust
lending pipeline and expect to continue to grow balances and market share during
FY24.

Unsecured lending increased 2.8% in Q1, driven mainly by measured credit card growth,
reflecting strong demand from existing customers, and further new account acquisition
in a resilient market. New credit card accounts opened in Q1 totalled 122k, lower
than 147k in Q4 23, reflecting a disciplined approach to credit and profitability.
Our customers are demonstrating resilience, with higher year-on-year spend and stable
repayment rates and we have continued to observe customer behavioural activity outperforming
our prudent assumptions across spend, repayment and retention, resulting in card
EIR performance remaining persistently better than expected. Personal Loans and 
Overdrafts reduced in line with expectations, ahead of the Group’s re-entry into
the market for new Personal Loans in H2 with a fully digitised end-to-end proposition.
The Group continues to expect moderate growth in Unsecured balances during the rest
of the financial year, in line with its strategy.

The Group traded well during Q1 to maintain its customer deposit mix and manage 
ongoing deposit migration. Overall deposits increased 1.0% to £67.3bn, including
1.7% growth in relationship deposits, which remained stable as a percentage of total
deposits at 53%. In the secondary savings market, the Group prioritised variable
savings for new funding during Q1, given the beneficial pricing available relative
to term deposits. Non-linked savings therefore increased by 0.7% to £9.8bn as growth
from new variable savings offset ongoing attrition from the back book. Term deposits
remained stable during Q1 at £21.5bn. Our deposit book remains defensively positioned,
reflecting our existing, higher proportion of term deposits and the attractive rates
we offer to our customers, which as at FY23, remained above larger UK peers.

NIM of 189bps in Q1 was stable relative to Q4 23 (189bps), as benefits from the 
reinvestment rate of the structural hedge and ongoing credit card EIR outperformance
offset spread pressure in mortgages and further deposit competition and migration.
The path for base rate expectations and swaps has reduced further since our FY23
results, reflecting a headwind to NIM from lower hedge reinvestment and potential
delays in deposit pass-through. Subject to macroeconomic uncertainties, we expect
NIM to be resilient over the remainder of the year, with FY24 NIM guidance of 190-
195bps unchanged, as benefits from reinvestment of the structural hedge, albeit 
with a lower rate outlook, and growth in higher-yielding lending segments mitigate
headwinds from mortgage spreads and ongoing deposit migration and competition.

Non-interest income (excluding notable items and one-off gains) was stable during
Q1 vs. Q4 23, supported by resilient credit card spending and robust business activity
levels. There were c.£(12)m of notable charges within non-interest income due to
hedge ineffectiveness and rate volatility in the period.

**Delighted Customers and Colleagues**

The Group continued to attract new customers in Q1, with 27k growth in net active
relationship customer accounts to 3.8m. We remain committed to consistently improving
the customer experience over time. In Q1, the Group delivered an improvement in 
call waiting times and launched new products and services, while remaining on track
to implement the second phase of the Consumer Duty regime in July 2024.

The Group has made significant improvements to its investment proposition, Virgin
Money Investments (VMI). During Q1, VMI launched its new pension product, giving
customers a straightforward way to save for later life, with positive early customer
engagement. In January, we also successfully migrated over 150k existing VMI customers
onto a new digital platform with FNZ, allowing all VMI customers to service their
pension and investment accounts digitally and manage their products more effectively.

Our insurance proposition is performing well, with c.50k new digital travel insurance
sales in Q1, supported by a cashback promotion to existing current account and credit
card holders. We are on track to launch our new digital home insurance product this
year, as we grow our fee earning capabilities over time.

In our credit cards business, we successfully upgraded our new conversational banking
virtual assistant, Redi during Q1. Redi is now connected to the credit card core
systems, enabling complete servicing activity and real-time changes to a customer’s
account. The service continues to attract favourable Smile scores and is driving
lower call volumes. We are delighted to have won ‘Best Application of AI or ML in
Financial Services’ with IBM, at the 2024 Cards and Payments Awards for the introduction
of Redi. We will be adding additional functionality to PCAs shortly as we introduce
a more personal approach to digital banking.

We are making good progress on our integrated app for key Virgin Money products,
incorporating features from our digital wallet, including rewards and insights, 
alongside new components including open banking aggregation, instant card issuance
and conversational banking. We are well placed to launch the first iteration of 
this integrated app during the year.

Despite a competitive market for PCAs, we opened c.27k new PCAs in Q1. This performance
was supported by our linked saver product and access to exclusive ISA products, 
with our ISA proposition recently winning three categories at the ‘2024 Savings 
Champion’ Awards. Our BCA proposition also continues to perform well, despite a 
challenging market, as we grew our stock of BCAs to over 250k in Q1.

Recognising the challenging environment and our Purpose of ‘Making You Happier About
Money’, we rewarded 97% of colleagues with a salary increase in January, while also
increasing our starting salary. We are on track to fully open our new Glasgow head
office in February, which will offer a modern, employee-led, state of the art facility
as part of our A Life More Virgin colleague proposition. We were also pleased to
announce the appointment of Lucinda Charles-Jones as a non-executive Director in
January.

**Super Straightforward Efficiency**

The Group remains highly focussed on managing its cost base and driving improved
efficiency. During the quarter, operating expenses (excluding notable items) remained
stable year-on-year, in line with expectations, as savings from our cost savings
programme absorbed ongoing inflation. The Group continues to expect to deliver a
broadly stable cost:income ratio (excluding notable items) in FY24.

The Group is on track to deliver c.£200m of annualised savings from its existing
restructuring programme after accelerating restructuring and digitisation activity.
The Group finalised the closure of 39 stores in Q1, thereby reducing its store network
by 30% to 91 stores, while also reducing its office property footprint by a further
c.35%, with further opportunities for office property rationalisation identified
following the success of the Glasgow head office consolidation. As a result of our
restructuring programme, we reduced the number of FTEs in Q1 on a gross basis by
c.150, with total FTEs now at a similar level as they were at CYBG around the time
of its initial public offering, and expect further reductions in FTEs during the
year. We are also looking to make increasing use of other more cost-effective geographies
for outsourced activities. We continue to drive digital customer engagement, including
the withdrawal of passbook savings accounts for customers and have made further 
progress in modernising our technology infrastructure, with the ongoing adoption
of Microsoft Azure, scaling the use of cloud services across the Bank.

The Group continues to expect the majority of the remaining c.£60m of restructuring
costs of the c.£275m total to be incurred during FY24, reflecting the costs of delivering
IT improvement, severance and further changes to the property footprint. We are 
also making good early progress delivering against the new c.£130m financial crime
prevention programme, as we improve our financial crime prevention capabilities 
and protect our customers. We have signed a contract with our new fraud detection
partner as we upgrade to a market leading fraud system and have signed an agreement
with a leading behavioural detection solutions partner, which will allow the Bank
to add additional capabilities into its strategic solutions for disrupting fraud
and money mule activity. We continue to expect to incur c.£40m of investment in 
FY24.

**Discipline and [Sustainability](https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/sustainability-green-stocks-news)**

The UK economic outlook is improving with inflation, while still elevated, starting
to normalise, leading to increased market expectations for rate cuts in 2024. Unemployment
expectations remain low, though the BoE expects GDP growth to remain challenged 
in the coming quarters. We are well positioned against this backdrop with strong
capital, robust provision coverage and consistent underwriting criteria.

Credit quality remained solid during the quarter with the portfolio continuing to
perform well. Overall arrears trends were consistent with FY23. We have continued
to see a gradual increase in credit card arrears, as expected, mainly reflecting
the ongoing portfolio maturation and diversification of our cards book.

The Group has now moved to a quarterly cycle of updating the economic assumptions
used within its IFRS 9 models, as provided by our third-party provider Oxford Economics.
Relative to Q4 23, the weighted average macroeconomic scenario at Q1 includes GDP
and unemployment assumptions that are largely unchanged, an improved, although still
reducing outlook for HPI in the near and mid-term, and a modestly lower Bank of 
England base rate. During Q1, overall credit provisions increased to £639m (Q4 23:
£617m), mainly reflecting growth in Unsecured and Business lending, contributing
to modestly higher provision coverage of 87bps (Q4 23: 84bps). Within this, modelled
and individually assessed ECL increased to £578m in Q1 (Q4 23: £540m), while management
adjustments (MAs) reduced to £61m (Q4 23: £76m). These factors resulted in an impairment
charge of £64m during Q1, equivalent to an annualised cost of risk of 35bps for 
the quarter. The Group continues to expect cost of risk to be in the range of 30-
35bps for FY24, assuming no further material changes in the macroeconomic outlook
and incorporating refinements to the application of SICR^([2]) on the Group’s credit
card portfolio, expected to be finalised later in the year.

The Group remains strongly capitalised with a CET1 ratio of 14.0%^([3]) on an IFRS9
transitional basis (Q4 23: 14.7%) or 13.8%^(3) on a fully loaded basis (Q4 23: 14.3%),
well above its MDA threshold of 10.9%. VMUK’s total capital ratio was 20.4%^(3) (
Q4 23: 21.2%) and the UK Leverage Ratio was 5.1%^(3) (Q4 23: 5.0%). We were pleased
to commence our £150m share buyback programme in November, which was 34% complete
at the end of January. The £150m buyback was fully recognised from a regulatory 
capital perspective in Q1 and consumed c.60bps of CET1. Alongside this, the Group
generated capital through ongoing profitability, while RWAs increased to £25.5bn(
Q4 23: £25.2bn), mainly reflecting loan growth and mix. The Group continues to expect
to be operating in its target CET1 range of 13-13.5% in FY24, supported by nominal
shareholder distributions in FY24 around the same level as FY23. The BoE has confirmed
it will not conduct the Annual Cyclical Scenario stress test for 2024 and the Group
currently expects further buybacks to be announced during H2, subject to Board and
regulatory approval. We now expect some modest upside to our capital position from
Basel 3.1 implementation on day 1 (1 July 2025), subject to regulatory approval.
The Group has negligible exposure to the FCAs review of historical motor finance
commission arrangements. The Group’s closed Consumer Asset Finance proposition was
direct to consumer only from 2012, with less than £2m of gross commissions paid 
on broker-originated agreements between 2007 and 2012. TNAV per share of 337p was
23p lower in Q1 as a reduction in the cash flow hedge reserve to £137m (Q4 23: £
495m), primarily due to rate changes, offset the impact of ongoing profitability
and a lower share count from buybacks executed in Q1.

Funding and liquidity remain strong, including 12-month average LCR of 150% and 
LDR broadly stable at 108%. The 12-month average NSFR remains strong at 135% while
72% of the deposit book is insured via the Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
The strong funding position and deposit franchise enabled the Group to further reduce
its TFSME outstanding by £1.2bn in Q1 to £5.1bn, resulting in the Group having now
repaid all of its TFSME maturities due in 2024. In January, we publicly issued £
500m of RMBS and the Group still expects £1.5bn – £2.0bn of secured issuance this
year in total, subject to ongoing deposit flows and relative cost. The Group’s IFRS9
transitional MREL ratio was 31.0%^(3) of RWAs at Q1 (Q4 23: 31.9%), comfortably 
exceeding its loss-absorbing capacity requirement of 27.3% of RWAs. During Q1, the
Group redeemed its £250m Tier 2 note as planned, pre-funded by the £300m senior 
MREL note issued in August 2023. Virgin Money UK also issued a new £350m AT1 instrument
and simultaneously tendered 42% of its £250m AT1 instrument, first callable in June
2024. Following these transactions, the Group is not currently expecting any further
capital issuance during FY24, with any further MREL issuance in FY24 to be broadly
limited to maintaining a prudent management buffer above regulatory requirements.

From a sustainability perspective during Q1, we have continued to focus on developing
enhanced customer propositions to support a low-carbon transition while further 
refining our climate related credit appetite. Through our partnership with Good 
Things Foundation, all our stores are now Databanks offering free data to customers
and we have launched the first phase of the Vulnerable Customer disclosure tool.

_^([1]) Financial crime prevention programme_

_^([2]) Significant increase in credit risk_

_^([3]) Includes unverified profits for Q1_

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