# Valeura Energy approves Wassana redevelopment targeting 10,000 bbls/d by 2027

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/valeura-energy-approves-wassana-redevelopment-targeting-10000-bblsd-by-2027/4121196830
- Published: 2025-05-15T07:10:00+01:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

**[Valeura Energy Inc](https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/company/valeura-energy-inc/vle.to)**(
[TSX:VLE](https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/company/valeura-energy-inc/vle.to),
OTCQX:VLERF) has taken final investment decision (“FID”) on redevelopment of the
Wassana field, in Licence G10/48 (100% Valeura interest), offshore Gulf of Thailand,
which is expected to create significant value for shareholders.  The Company is 
pleased to provide details of the redevelopment project, updated reserves and resources
estimates and values, and a revision to its 2025 guidance.

**Highlights**

 * **Optimum Redevelopment Design:** Redevelopment of the Wassana field through 
   a new-build central processing platform(“CPP”) to optimise full block potential;
 * **Production Growth:** First oil expected in Q2 2027, with peak field production
   of 10,000 bbls/d – more than 2.7 times current output from the field;
 * **Significant Reserves Increase:** Wassana proved plus probable (2P) reserves
   increased to 20.5 million bbls, representing an increment of approximately 18
   million bbls compared to the continuing production with existing infrastructure
   only^((1));
 * **Field Life Extension:** Extends the end-of-field life (“EOFL”) to 2043, an 
   increase of 16 years;
 * **Efficient and Fully Funded Capital Allocation:** US$120 million estimated investment
   in facilities over the next two years, with US$40 million in 2025, and the remainder
   in 2026, fully funded from the Company’s balance sheet;
 * **Highly accretive:** Wassana 2P net present value (NPV_(10)) before tax increases
   to US$218 million (vs. US$127 million pre-FID)^((2)), equating to a net asset
   value (“NAV”)^((3)) addition of C$1.23 per share; and
 * **Strong and Resilient Economics:** An estimated 40% internal rate of return (“
   IRR”) at US$60/bbl Brent oil prices, and upside at higher price points, with 
   a payback of 18 months.

 1. _Management estimate of reserves recoverable in a no-further-action case, with 
    assumed decommissioning of the Mobile Offshore Production Unit (“MOPU”) at the 
    end of 2027._
 2. _NSAI 2024 Report, as more fully described in the Company’s February 13, 2025 press
    release._
 3. _Incremental 2P NPV___(10)__ after tax, using US$/C$ exchange rate of 1.435, and
    106.65 million common shares outstanding, as at December 31, 2024._

> **Dr. Sean Guest, President and CEO commented:**
> _“Our final investment decision to pursue the Wassana redevelopment project is
> a milestone for Valeura. Since assuming operatorship, we have identified substantially
> more reserves than were initially estimated at the Wassana field. Beyond the significant
> increase in reserves and extension of field life, this project is expected to 
> significantly increase production from the field to 10,000 bbls/d in the second
> half of 2027,_ _at anticipated__ unit __Adjusted Opex reflecting a__ reduction
> of approximately 2/3^(rds) versus current rates._
> _Additionally, this development concept is creating opportunities for further 
> growth through a ‘hub and spoke’ model whereby we can potentially tie-in the satellite
> oil accumulations already discovered both north and south of the main Wassana 
> field. This approach has been highly successful in both our Jasmine and Nong Yao
> fields._
> _This project is very robust and resilient from an economic standpoint.  Even 
> in a lower oil price environment of US$60 per barrel, the development delivers
> returns of approximately 40% IRR.  This economic strength provides downside protection
> while maintaining upside potential as oil prices strengthen, creating a favourable
> risk-reward profile for our shareholders._
> _Our financial position allows us to fully fund this development through existing
> cash reserves, without compromising our balance sheet strength.  The project’s
> solid economics across various price scenarios demonstrates our disciplined approach
> to capital allocation and our commitment to creating sustainable value for our
> shareholders._
> _I am very pleased that Valeura has grown into a business that has the capacity
> to take on this magnitude of project. At the same time, we continue to uphold 
> our principle of generating healthy cash flow which provides the financial wherewithal
> to continue our ambition to add further value through growth.”_

**Wassana Field Redevelopment**

Current production from the Wassana field is via a MOPU facility that is constrained
by an end-of-life expected at end 2027.  Given this limited life, it is only possible
to recover approximately 2.5 mmbbls of oil with the current production facility.
The facility is also limited in the number of future development wells that could
be drilled and has insufficient oil and fluid processing capacity to recover the
expected reserves and resources of oil in the G10/48 licence.  Further, the MOPU’s
age and processing system also carry the highest unit Adjusted Opex of all Valeura’s
Gulf of Thailand assets.

The Company has reviewed a number of different redevelopment concepts for the Wassana
field and has selected a new CPP with 24 production well slots as the optimal development
concept to yield both the highest financial returns and the maximum total recoverable
oil from the G10/48 licence.  The new CPP will replace the existing MOPU production
infrastructure and is expected to allow for a more holistic commercialisation of
the field’s oil reserves, both by enabling more aerially extensive drilling reach
and also by way of a longer facility design life, resulting in more years of cash
flow generation.  Given the increased reserves and contingent resource identified
in the G10/48 licence, the new facility is required to have a production life well
into the 2040s.  The CPP, which mirrors the specifications of the Company’s Nong
Yao A facility, has been designed to also accommodate future growth opportunities
through the eventual tie-in of additional oil accumulations both to the north and
to the south of the Wassana field.

The Company has selected Thai Nippon Steel Engineering & Construction Corporation
Ltd (“Thai Nippon Steel”) for Engineering, Procurement, Construction, and Commissioning(“
EPCC”) of the facility.  Thai Nippon Steel is a very capable EPCC contractor with
four decades experience in developing facilities of this type in Thailand.

The contracting strategy selected by the Company ensures that more than 80% of the
US$120 million facility capex is under fixed price commitments, with key long-lead
items secured.

**Capital Investment & Development Timeline**

Total capex for the CPP and all of the export pipelines and facilities is estimated
at US$120 million, of which approximately US$40 million is planned to be spent in
2025 with the remainder in 2026.  The current plan is for the CPP to be fully installed
and ready to commence development drilling at approximately the end of 2026.  The
initial drilling campaign comprises 16 horizontal development wells and one water
injection well.  Based on rig rates that the Company contracted in 2024, the estimated
cost of each development well is approximately US$4.8 million.  However, Valeura
has observed a downward trend in jack-up drilling rig rates and materials in recent
months, and therefore anticipates that drilling capex for the Wassana redevelopment
may be lower if this trend continues.  First oil from the new facility is planned
for Q2 2027.

**Production Profile & Operating Efficiencies**

Once the initial development wells are completed, management estimates that the 
Wassana field will produce oil at rates of 10,000 bbls/d in the second half of 2027.
The target plateau rate for the CPP is then above 7,500 bbls/d after the existing
MOPU is decommissioned in late 2027.  Once the CPP is operational, Valeura estimates
that its operating characteristics will be approximately consistent with the performance
of the Nong Yao A facility, which bears Adjusted Opex per bbl (a non-IFRS measure,
more fully described in the Company’s May 14, 2025 Management’s Discussion and Analysis)
in the range of US$12 – 16/bbl.  This is anticipated to reduce the Company’s overall
Adjusted Opex per bbl, thereby making the development value accretive and the portfolio
more resilient.

**Expansion Potential & Economic Resilience**

The updated EOFL for the Wassana field is 2043 (see below) and the CPP will be constructed
to include two risers to allow for satellite field tiebacks.  Accumulations of oil
have already been identified to the north of Wassana at the Nirami field, which 
may form the basis for one satellite development, and the Company is reprocessing
3D seismic south of the Wassana field in the vicinity of the Mayura oil discovery
to support further appraisal drilling in this area. Development of these satellites
would extend both the plateau production from the CPP and also the ultimate field
life.  The CPP concept facilitates the development of satellite fields with minimal
wellhead platform infrastructure, resulting in the potential for cost-efficient 
tieback operations; the Company envisages such incremental production bearing even
lower Adjusted Opex than the cost of the production tied directly to the CPP.

Valeura has thoroughly evaluated the economics of the CPP redevelopment project,
and believes the project presents a compelling investment proposition.  All of the
Company’s investments are scrutinised based on oil price sensitivities, and in this
instance, even at Brent crude oil benchmark prices of US$60/bbl, management estimates
that Wassana will generate an IRR in excess of 40% and a payback of 18 months, underscoring
the resilience and strong economics of the redevelopment.

**Wassana Reserves and Resources Update**

Valeura has commissioned Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc. (“NSAI”) to assess
the reserves and contingent resources for its Wassana field in light of the decision
to pursue the Wassana redevelopment.  For clarity, NSAI’s evaluation only addresses
the G10/48 licence, the Company’s other assets were not re-evaluated.  NSAI’s evaluation
is presented in a report dated May 14, 2025 (the “NSAI Wassana FID Report”) and 
is based on an effective date of December 31, 2024 so as to be consistent with previous
NSAI evaluations of the Company’s reserves and resources.

The NSAI Wassana FID Report includes those oil accumulations on the Wassana field
that have already been encountered and derisked through the Company’s drilling programme
in 2023, in addition to known accumulations which are being accessed through the
existing Wassana infrastructure.  All reserves on the G10/48 licence are deemed 
to be heavy oil reserves.

| **Wassana Heavy Oil Reserves** | **Gross (Before Royalties) Reserves, Working Interest Share**** (mbbls)** | 
| Proved | Producing Developed | 1,851 | 
| Non-Producing Developed | 198 | 
| Undeveloped | 13,364 | 
| **Total Proved (1P)** | **15,413** | 
| Total Probable (P2) | 5,136 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable (2P)** | **20,549** | 
| Total Possible (P3) | 2,148 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P)** | **22,697** |

Valeura Energy notes that NSAI’s previous assessment of Wassana reserves, the NSAI
2024 Report, as more fully described in the Company’s February 13, 2025 press release,
was based on the most conservative redevelopment concept that delivered relatively
low reserves.  With FID of the CPP-based redevelopment concept, NSAI is now able
to use the planned CPP facility, increased number of wells, and their associated
production profiles and cost to estimate the reserves indicated above, which in 
all instances, are higher than those in the NSAI 2024 Report.

Net present values of future net revenue from oil reserves are based on forecast
Brent crude oil reference prices of US$75.58, US$78.51, US$79.89, US$81.82, and 
US$83.46 per bbl for the years ending December 31, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029,
respectively, with 2% escalation thereafter. NSAI assumes cost inflation of 2% per
annum.  Price realisation forecasts are based on the Brent crude oil reference prices
above, and adjusted for oil quality, and market differentials.

The estimated 2P NPV_(10 )after income taxes from the Wassana field is US$218.2 
million.

| **Wassana Future Net Revenue** | **Before Tax NPV****_(10)****(US$ million)** | **After Tax NPV****_(10)****(US$ million)** | 
| Proved | Producing Developed | (30.0) | (30.0) | 
| Non-Producing Developed | 13.7 | 13.7 | 
| Undeveloped | 273.5 | 200.9 | 
| **Total Proved (1P)** | **257.2** | **184.6** | 
| Total Probable (P2) | 97.3 | 33.7 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable (2P)** | **354.5** | **218.2** | 
| Total Possible (P3) | 97.5 | 48.3 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P)** | **452.0** | **266.5** |

The NSAI 2024 Report indicated a 2P NPV_(10) of US$126.6 million after income taxes,
which implies that the redevelopment project adds US$91.6 million in incremental
value.  Expressed in Canadian dollars (using an US$/C$ exchange rate of 1.435), 
the incremental 2P NPV_(10) is C$131.4 million after income taxes, which, on a per
share basis equates to a value add of C$1.23/share.  These estimates are based on
the same assumptions set out in the Company’s February 13, 2025 press release, which
assumed a US$/C$ exchange rate of 1.435 and 106.65 million common shares outstanding,
as at December 31, 2024.  As a result, the Company estimates a current NAV of C$
14.84/share, based on the sum of the 2P NPV_(10) and the Company’s cash as of December
31, 2024, which was US$259.4 million.

With this update, the Company’s 2P reserves as of year-end 2024 are increased to
57.6 mmbbls which yields a reserve life index (“RLI”) of 6.5 years.  The Wassana
field illustrates the potential for Gulf of Thailand fields to continue adding reserves
and extending economic field life.  The Company has increased its reserves life 
every year since assuming operatorship.

| ** ** | **Gross (Before Royalties) Reserves, Working Interest Share (mbbls)** | 
| **Reserves by Field** | **Jasmine (Light/ Medium)^((1))** | **Manora (Light/ Medium)^((1))** | **Nong Yao (Light/ Medium)^((1))** | **Wassana (Heavy)^((2))** | **Total** | 
| **Proved** | Producing Developed | 5,268 | 1,370 | 6,541 | 1,851 | 15,030 | 
| Non-Producing Developed | 703 | 433 | 153 | 198 | 1,487 | 
| Undeveloped | 4,713 | 705 | 3,742 | 13,364 | 22,524 | 
| **Total Proved (1P)** | **10,684** | **2,509** | **10,436** | **15,413** | **39,042** | 
| Total Probable (P2) | 6,108 | 848 | 6,500 | 5,136 | 18,592 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable (2P)** | **16,792** | **3,357** | **16,936** | **20,549** | **57,634** | 
| Total Possible (P3) | 3,647 | 718 | 4,297 | 2,148 | 10,810 | 
| **Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P)** | **20,440** | **4,075** | **21,233** | **22,697** | **68,445** |

 1. _NSAI 2024 Report_
 2. _NSAI Wassana FID Report_

NSAI also assessed contingent resources for the G10/48 licence. Best estimate (2C)
contingent resources are reduced from 12.7 mmbbls to 6.2 mmbbls on an unrisked basis.
This reduction is largely due to a significant portion of the contingent resource
moving into reserves with the approval of the new project. The majority of the remaining
contingent resources are associated with the Nirami Field to the north with some
also associated with the Mayura discovery to the south.

| **Contingent Resources** | **NSAI Wassana FID Report** | 
| Urisked (mmbbls) | Risked (mmbbls) | 
| Low Estimate (1C) | 6.5 | 3.6 | 
| **Best Estimate (2C)** | **6.2** | **2.6** | 
| High Estimate (3C) | 9.3 | 3.4 |

**Guidance Update**

In light of anticipated 2025 spending of US$40 million on the Wassana redevelopment
project, the Company’s guidance for Adjusted Capex (a non-IFRS measure, more fully
described in the Company’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis dated May 14, 2025)
has been revised to US$165 – 185 million for the full year 2025.  The Company is
also providing guidance on Free Cash Flow (a non-IFRS measure, being Adjusted Cash
Flow from Operations less Adjusted Capex, both as more fully described in the Company’s
Management’s Discussion and Analysis dated May 14, 2025).  Under Valeura’s Updated
2025 Guidance, and based on benchmark Brent oil prices ranging from US$65 – 85/bbl,
Free Cashflow Guidance is US$80 – 195 million.

Valeura Energy’s guidance assumptions for average production, Adjusted Opex (a non-
IFRS measure, more fully described in the Company’s Management’s Discussion and 
Analysis dated May 14, 2025), and Exploration expense are re-affirmed.  In addition
to spending on the Wassana redevelopment project in 2025, the Company’s Updated 
2025 Guidance is based on the unchanged assumption of having one drilling rig on
contract for the full year and conducting certain brownfield developments as previously
disclosed.  Adjusted Opex includes the cost of leasing certain vessels as part of
its ongoing operations, including the Nong Yao C MOPU, the Jasmine field’s Floating
Production Storage and Offloading vessel, as well as Floating Storage and Offloading
vessels at the Manora and Wassana fields, and a warehouse.  Such leases are expected
to total approximately US$33 million, unchanged from the Original 2025 Guidance.

| ** ** | **Original 2025****Guidance** | **Updated 2025****Guidance** | 
| Average Daily Oil Production^((1)) | 23.0 – 25.5 mbbls/d | 23.0 – 25.5 mbbls/d | 
| Adjusted Opex | US$215 – 245 million | US$215 – 245 million | 
| Adjusted Capex | US$125 – 150 million | US$165 – 185 million | 
| Exploration expense | Approximately US$11 million | Approximately US$11 million | 
| Free Cash Flow | US$112 – 227 million^((2)) | US$80 – 195 million |

 1. _Working interest share production, before royalties._
 2. _Illustrative Free Cash Fow guidance based on the Company’s Original 2025 Guidance
    assumptions._

Also unchanged is the Company’s intention to fund its 2025 guidance spending through
cash on hand plus cash flow generated from ongoing operations.   The Company continues
to expect that these sources will continue to strengthen the Company’s balance sheet,
concurrent with the Wassana redevelopment, thereby providing capacity for other 
growth projects, including inorganic opportunities.

**Webcast**

Valeura intends to comment on the Wassana redevelopment project as part of a management
update presentation and Q&A session following its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders
which is scheduled for today, May 14, 2025, at 4:00 P.M. in Calgary.  Shareholders
may attend in person, as further detailed in the Management’s Information Circular
which was mailed to shareholders and is available on the Company’s website and on
www.sedarplus.ca.  A webcast of the live event is available with the link below.
Shareholders who are unable to attend in person may submit written questions through
the webcast system or by email to IR@valeuraenergy.com.

Participants are advised to register for the online event in advance, using the 
following link: https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/f0e30b40-c6bc-4673-bd84-
b57491e1ba58@a196a1a0-4579-4a0c-b3a3-855f4db8f64b

An audio only feed of the Meeting is available by phone using the Conference ID 
and dial-in numbers below:

Conference ID: 239 311 896 799

Dial-in numbers:

Canada: (833) 845-9589,,49176158#
Singapore: +65 6450 6302,,49176158#Thailand: +
66 2 026 9035,,49176158#Türkiye: 0800 142 034779,,49176158#United Kingdom: 0800 
640 3933,,49176158#United States: (833) 846-5630,,49176158#

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