# Royal Bank of Scotland report operating profit before tax of £4,232 million

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/royal-bank-of-scotland-report-operating-profit-before-tax-of-4232-million/412805582
- Published: 2020-02-14T07:20:26+00:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

**Royal Bank of Scotland plc **(LON:RBS) has today announced its Annual Results 
for the year ended 31 December 2019.

**In a challenging market RBS has exceeded all of its 2019 financial targets: cost
reduction above target; net lending growth ahead of target; RWAs below guidance;
and 22 pence of total distributions to shareholders in 2019, while maintaining a
CET1 ratio of 16.2%.**

● Return on tangible equity of 9.4% for 2019 and 4.7% excluding FX recycling gains.

● Q4 2019 operating profit before tax of £1,546 million and an attributable profit
of £1,410 million, or £176 million excluding FX recycling gains.

● FY 2019 attributable profit of £3,133 million, or £1,561 million excluding FX 
recycling gains.

**Supporting our customers through continued lending growth**

● We continue to achieve net lending growth at attractive returns in a challenging
market. Across UK Personal Banking, Ulster Bank RoI, Commercial Banking and Private
Banking, net loans to customers increased by 3.7% in 2019, exceeding our 2-3% growth
target.

● UK Personal Banking gross new mortgage lending was £33.3 billion in 2019 compared
with £30.4 billion in 2018. Commercial Banking gross new lending was £19.5 billion
in 2019.

● 2019 net impairment losses of £696 million equate to 21 basis points of gross 
customer loans, compared with 13 basis points in 2018. The cost of risk remains 
below our view of a normalised blended long term loss rate of 30-40 basis points.

**Continuing competitive market**

● Reflecting challenging market conditions and ongoing margin pressure, across the
retail and commercial businesses income, excluding notable items, decreased by 2.6%
compared with 2018.

● 2019 Bank net interest margin (NIM) of 1.99% decreased by 10 basis points compared
with 2018. Q4 2019 Bank NIM of 1.93% was 4 basis points lower than Q3 2019 primarily
reflecting competitive pressures in the mortgage business as front book margins 
remain lower than back book.

● Natwest Markets core income of £1,082 million was £177 million, or 14.1%, lower
than 2018 largely reflecting a challenging third quarter in the Rates business.

● A cost reduction of £310 million was achieved during 2019, ahead of our £300 million
target for the year.

**Capital generation**

● The Bank maintained a CET1 ratio of 16.2% despite accruing £2.7 billion of distributions
to shareholders and a £0.4 billion post tax charge in respect of foreseeable pension
contributions. Excluding the impact of the Alawwal bank merger and PPI, the Bank
generated c.110 basis points of capital from attributable profits and c.60 basis
points from a reduction in RWAs and other capital movements.

● RWAs reduced by £9.5 billion during 2019 to £179.2 billion, below our £185 -190
billion guidance, in part reflecting a £4.7 billion reduction associated with the
Alawwal bank merger.

**Parent Company name change**

Today, we have announced that we plan to rename our parent company. The Royal Bank
of Scotland Group plc is intended to be renamed [NatWest Group plc](https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/ftse-company/natwest-group-plc/nwg.l)
later this year.

**Outlook^((1))**

RBS, like all companies, continues to deal with a range of significant risks and
uncertainties in the external economic, political and regulatory environment. Our
central economic forecast, which supports our corporate plan, is in line with consensus
as at the end of December 2019 and shows average UK GDP growth of around 1.6% from
2019 to 2023 and continued low interest rates; we expect a base rate cut in the 
short term and then flat thereafter. Given the current uncertainties we will continue
to actively monitor and react to market conditions.

**2020 Outlook**

In the current environment, and recognising ongoing market uncertainty, we continue
to expect challenges on income. In addition, we anticipate that regulatory changes
will adversely impact income in our personal business by around £200 million.

We plan ongoing operating cost take out by reducing operating expenses excluding
strategic costs, litigation and conduct costs and operating lease depreciation costs
by £250 million in 2020 compared with 2019. We expect to incur £0.8-1.0 billion 
of strategic costs during 2020 resulting from a refocussing of NatWest Markets and
the continued resizing of the Group’s cost base. We anticipate that NatWest Markets
exit, restructuring and disposal costs will be around £0.6 billion in 2020, with
around £0.4 billion as disposal losses through income and £0.2 billion through strategic
costs.

We expect to remain below our through-the-cycle impairment loss rate assumption 
of 30-40 basis points, although the potential impact on the real economy of ongoing
political uncertainties and geopolitical tensions could affect our credit loss outcome.
The threat from single name and sector driven events remains.

We are targeting lending growth of greater than 3% across our retail and commercial
franchises.

We expect to end 2020 with risk weighted assets (RWAs) of around £185-190 billion
including an estimated £10.5 billion increase associated with the implementation
of Bank of England mortgage floors, with NatWest Markets RWAs reducing by around
£6-8 billion in the year.

RBS Group (RBSG) capital and funding plans focus on issuing £2-4 billion of MREL-
compliant instruments, of which we would expect around £1 billion to be issued under
our Green, Social and Sustainable Bond Framework, up to £1.5 billion of AT1 and 
up to £2.5 billion of Tier 2 instruments. As in prior years, we will continue to
target other funding sources to diversify our funding structure, including senior
secured from NatWest Bank subject to funding and liquidity considerations.

**Medium term outlook**

We expect to achieve a return on tangible equity of 9-11% in the medium to long 
term. In addition, we expect ongoing operating cost take-out.

Within NatWest Markets franchise, we anticipate that RWAs will reduce to around 
£20 billion in the medium term, which, after accounting for strategic costs and 
disposal losses, is expected to be capital ratio accretive in year one and over 
the course of the transition plan period.

We anticipate that the overall RWA impact of Basel 3 amendments to be around 5-10%
and phased across 2021 to 2023, with the details still subject to regulatory uncertainty
on both quantum and timing.

**RBS Group capital distributions**

We expect to maintain ordinary dividends of around 40% of attributable profit. We
retain our guidance of CET1 ratio to be approximately 14% at the end of 2021, and
we will target a reduction to 13-14% in the medium to long term. We have shareholder
and regulatory approval to carry out directed buybacks of the UK government stake
in Royal Bank of Scotland but recognise that any exercise of this authority would
be dependent upon HMT’s intentions and is limited to 4.99% of issued share capital
in any 12 month period. As a reminder, we have also committed to make further pre-
tax contributions to the pension scheme of up to £1.5 billion in aggregate from 
1 January 2020 linked to future distributions to RBS shareholders.

**NatWest Markets Plc**

Whilst we have announced a refocusing of the business, NatWest Markets Plc remains
a regulated entity and is targeting to maintain a CET1 ratio above 15%, MREL ratio
of at least 30%, leverage ratio of at least 4%, and to reduce RWAs by around £14-
18 billion in the medium term.

NatWest Markets Plc, as a standalone bank, plans to issue £3-5 billion of term senior
unsecured instruments in 2020.

**Notes:**

_(1) The targets, expectations and trends discussed in this section represent RBS
Group’s and NatWest Markets Plc’s management current expectations and are subject
to change, including as a result of the factors described in the “Risk Factors” 
section on pages 281 to 295 of RBS Group’s 2019 Annual Report and Accounts and pages
143 to 156 of NatWest Markets Plc’s 2019 Annual Report and Accounts. These statements
constitute forward-looking statements; refer to Forward-looking statements in this
document._

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