# Ethiopian relocation initiative signals KEFI’s next phase

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/ethiopian-relocation-initiative-signals-kefi-s-next-phase/4121208535
- Published: 2025-07-21T16:33:00+01:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

A ripple of change is unfolding beyond the fringes of Tulu Kapi, where the first
instalments of community compensation are now in motion. This marks more than an
administrative step; it reveals a company poised to translate years of groundwork
into tangible progress, setting the stage for a new chapter in Ethiopia and beyond.

From the moment Ethiopia’s state of emergency lifted in early 2022, KEFI Gold and
Copper embraced a clear set of prerequisites to re-energise its flagship gold project.
Security outposts were erected, an exemption from exchange controls secured, and
parliamentary ratification of its banking partners finalised in May 2025 – the last
of three critical conditions. It is this culmination that has unlocked the Phase
1 resettlement action plan, with compensation payments now disbursed to affected
households. Funded initially from KEFI’s own balance sheet, these outlays will be
recouped from the broader project financing package, underscoring management’s commitment
to advancing development without delay.

Meticulous alignment with World Bank International Finance Corporation performance
standards has guided the community engagement programme, ensuring that resettlement
proceeds with both transparency and local collaboration. In parallel, site preparations
have accelerated: security and construction camps stand ready, and a new access 
road approaches completion. These tangible milestones herald a concerted push towards
the full development launch, with gold production now slated for the second half
of 2027.

Behind this operational momentum lies a well-structured financing blueprint. The
updated estimate for development capital has risen modestly to around US$420 million,
reflecting both inflationary pressures and an expanded scope. Of this, contractor
funding accounts for roughly US$110 million, bank debt for US$240 million and equity
risk capital for US$70 million. The equity component has been rationalised from 
earlier projections, supported by innovative Ethiopian-denominated preference shares
issued via a newly established local holding company. These instruments offer domestic
investors a rare blend of birr-based subscription with US dollar-linked principal,
interest payments and exposure to a rising gold price.

Institutional endorsement has grown in lockstep with KEFI’s preparedness. Recent
placings have drawn heavyweight participants such as Ruffer Gold, Konwave/Gold 2000
and Phoenix Precious Metals, with Premier Miton and RAB Capital also joining the
register. Their involvement not only bolsters the balance sheet but evidences confidence
in the path to commissioning.

Projections for Tulu Kapi’s debut year are compelling. At an assumed gold price 
of US\$3 000 per ounce, the project is anticipated to generate net operating cash
flow of approximately US\$300 million after royalties and tax, paving the way for
early debt prepayment, a potential special dividend and reinvestment into KEFI’s
wider pipeline. Should these figures materialise in 2028, the board may well revisit
capital distribution strategies to maximise shareholder value.

While Ethiopia takes centre stage, KEFI’s strategic gaze extends into the Arabian-
Nubian Shield of Saudi Arabia. Its joint venture, Gold and Minerals Limited, has
expanded resources by 20 % to the gold-equivalent of 3.8 million ounces and more
than doubled its exploration acreage to over 2 200 km², including a new 900 km² 
belt with Hancock Prospecting. The immediate focus is the Stage 1 oxide phase of
the Jibal Qutman gold project, which requires a modest equity infusion of £2–3 million,
likely funded from reimbursements due from Tulu Kapi’s financing.

Beyond Jibal Qutman, the GMCO pipeline encompasses further expansions and the development
of Hawiah’s copper and gold assets. KEFI’s current 15% stake across these ventures
could elevate its aggregate output to more than 200 000 ounces of gold equivalent,
diversifying revenue streams across two jurisdictions and multiple commodities. 
Expressions of interest from potential partners and financiers during the recent
strategic review hint at opportunities to optimise the group’s capital structure
and accelerate project delivery.

For investors, the convergence of domestic engagement, robust financing structures
and international growth options paints a picture of a company transitioning from
exploration to production. With the majority of development finance being arranged
at subsidiary level, KEFI has positioned itself to minimise reliance on external
decisions and maximise operational autonomy. This approach has crystallised into
an estimated project-driven valuation of around 8 pence per share, based on current
reserves, resources and a conservative discount rate.

As KEFI moves from planning to execution, the next few months promise to be defining.
The resettlement programme serves not only as a social imperative but also as a 
tangible signpost of progress, signalling that the delays of the past are giving
way to delivery and growth.

_London-listed company **KEFI Gold and Copper plc** ([LON:KEFI](https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/company/kefi-gold-and-copper/kefi.l))
is an exploration and development company focused on gold and copper deposits in
the highly prospective Arabian-Nubian Shield. The Company operates in Ethiopia and
Saudi Arabia with projects including Tulu Kapi project, Jibal Qutman EL and Hawiah._

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