# Coca-Cola HBC AG accelerates growth and share gains

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/coca-cola-hbc-ag-accelerates-growth-and-share-gains/4121031357
- Published: 2021-11-03T07:31:48+00:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

**Coca-Cola HBC AG **(LON:CCH), a growth-focused Consumer Packaged Goods business
and strategic bottling partner of The Coca-Cola Company, has announced its 2021 
Q3 trading update.

**Third quarter highlights**

–  Strong Q3 FX-neutral revenue growth of 17.1%. Sharp acceleration on a 2 year 
basis, closing 16.8% up on Q3 2019 or 8.9% ahead YTD, on a like-for-like basis^(
1)

o  Targeted execution captured the summer season and we benefited from the reopening
of the out-of-home channel; Emerging segment strength continued

o  70bps of value share gained in non-alcoholic ready-to-drink (NARTD) YTD

–  Volume growth of 13.1% was supported by priority categories in our 24/7 portfolio:
Sparkling +13.1%; Low/no sugar sparkling +54.6%; Adult sparkling +27.5%; and Energy
+29.4%

–  Price/mix up 5.1% YTD and up 3.5% in Q3 on a tougher comparator; all three segments
saw price/mix expansion gain pace versus 2019

–  Rigorous COGS management and disciplined OPEX control

–  On track to complete the acquisition of Coca-Cola Bottling Company of Egypt by
Q1 2022

–  Announced commitment to achieve net-zero emissions across the entire value chain
by 2040

**Segment highlights**

· _Established _: Sustained positive price/mix development and volume recovery propelled
by good execution during the summer season, and out-of-home channel reopening

· _Developing _: Q3 segment v olumes slightly ahead of 2019 despite Polish sugar
tax

· _Emerging _: Strong momentum in Nigeria and Russia in the period despite higher
comparators

> **Zoran Bogdanovic, Chief Executive Officer of Coca-Cola HBC AG, commented:**
> “We delivered a strong acceleration of performance in Q3, the result of targeted
> and well-prepared execution during the summer season, as well as continued growth
> momentum in the Emerging segment.
> We accelerated FX-neutral revenue growth across all segments on a two-year basis
> and drove a faster pace of market share gains in the quarter. This performance
> is due to the strength of our 24/7 portfolio, our revenue growth management capabilities,
> the adaptability of our route-to-market and most critically also thanks to the
> agility of our people who bring our strategy to life in the marketplace through
> close partnership with our customers.
> In the current inflationary environment impacting all industries our revenue growth
> management tools, as well as our ability to take price in the context of robust
> insights and analytics, will be critical. Our actions in 2021, as well as the 
> plans we have for Q4 and beyond will help us to mitigate the current challenging
> cost environment. I am pleased to reiterate our guidance for 2021 of a strong 
> recovery in FX-neutral revenues and a 20-30bps EBIT margin expansion.”

_^(1 )__Year to date 2021 performance, unless stated otherwise, is negatively impacted
by the change in classification of our Russian Juice business, Multon, from a joint
operation to a joint venture, following its re-organisation in May 2020 as well 
as positively impacted by the acquisition of Bambi in June 2019 when compared to
the 2019 performance._

_^(2 )__For details on Alternative Performance Measures (‘APMs’) refer to ‘Alternative
Performance Measures’ and ‘Definitions and reconciliations of APMs’ sections._

**Operational highlights**

**Winning in the marketplace**

Execution of targeted plans to capture the full potential of the summer season as
markets continued to reopen drove FX-neutral revenues up by 17.1% in Q3, on tough
comparators. Careful prioritisation of investment allowed us to seize the highest
potential opportunities. Our dynamic route to market, which integrates physical 
and on-line sales, coupled with increased use of digital tools that segment our 
customer base, ensured targeted, successful execution.

The out-of-home channel grew volumes by 20%, benefiting from reopening and the partial
recovery of tourism in several markets. We have actively supported our out-of-home
customers and have been able to re-route our teams during the summer season to maximise
these outlets’ opportunities in a changing marketplace. Out-of-home volumes were
10% above 2019 levels in Q3.

The at-home channel continues to show good momentum, growing 10% in Q3. We remain
focused on increasing our share of the most valuable at-home occasions. We are seeing
solid demand for premium offerings including Adult sparkling brands and single-serve
package formats. Affordability needs are met with the right pack and price portfolio
offerings as well as targeted promotions. At-home volumes were 17% above 2019 levels.

We continue to invest in digital commerce channels where we are seeing revenue growth
in the high double-digits, boosted by shifting consumer habits amplified by the 
COVID-19 pandemic. We will continue to invest capital and management attention in
this area.

**Leveraging our unique 24/7 portfolio**

We have accelerated market share gains in NARTD, gaining 70bps of value share year
to date compared to 50bps at H1 2021.

Our sparkling portfolio continues to gain or maintain share in the majority of markets.
Sparkling volumes grew by 13.1%, driven by strategic focus areas, with Adult sparkling
brands up 27.5% and low/no sugar variants up 54.6%. We are seeing broad-based growth
across brands with Trademark Coke up 11.7%, Fanta up 13.6% and Sprite up 18.1%.

Energy continues to show momentum, with volumes up 29.4% in the quarter, and broad-
based strength across the portfolio of brands we offer, including Burn, Monster 
and Predator.

We are making good progress with Coffee. We expect to start distributing Caffè Vergnano
in selected markets during Q4 and are broadening distribution in all channels with
Costa.  

Still drinks volumes showed good results in Q3. Water volumes grew by 12.4% in the
quarter, benefiting from the reopening of the out-of-home channel where this category
over-indexes. Juice volume was up 14.0%, with growth in all three segments, while
Ready-to-drink tea volume grew by 6.5%.

**Revenue growth management and price/mix**

FX-neutral revenue per case increased by 3.5% in the quarter and by 5.1% year to
date, with Q3 impacted by a tougher comparator. Comparing price/mix performance 
with 2019 allows us to remove the fluctuations of price/mix in 2020 which were mostly
the result of lockdowns and reopening in our markets. Compared to 2019 we see that
price/mix is accelerating in Q3 in all three segments and for the Group as a whole.
Q3 price/mix was up 1.8% excluding pricing taken to offset the Polish sugar tax.

Revenue growth management capabilities continue to be our most important tool to
ensure healthy price/mix expansion. Premium offerings, s maller packs which allow
for a lower consumer price points at an attractive revenue per case, and the careful
flexing of promotional activities ensures that we are increasing the value from 
every case we sell. We are pleased to see that package mix continued to recover 
in Q3, expanding by 3.1 percentage points year-on-year; package mix is now 1 percentage
point above 2019 levels. We continue to believe that pack mix has a long runway 
for ongoing improvement supported by consumer trends and shifts to single-serve 
formats.

At the same time, pricing is a critical tool in the current inflationary environment
and during the quarter we continued to take pricing in our markets. In 2021 we have
taken price in over 95% of our markets, and in all cases other than Poland we have
not seen a negative impact on volume as a result of pricing actions. We remain focused
on capturing value opportunities through extra pricing in Q4, leveraging our revenue
growth management capabilities and analytics.

**Net Zero by 2040**

In October we announced a commitment to achieving net zero emissions across the 
entire value chain by 2040. This commitment extends our existing, approved science-
based target which calls for a 25% reduction in emissions across our value chain
by 2030, with a further 50% reduction in the following decade.

**Established markets segment – reopening and consistent price/mix expansion drove
FX-neutral revenues ahead of 2019 in the quarter**

Established markets volume grew 8.0%, finishing the quarter 1% below 2019 levels.
Given the segment’s proportionally larger exposure to the out-of-home channel, continued
reopening provided strong support to volumes. The segment also benefited from the
partial recovery of tourism in Italy and Greece as well as the ‘staycation’ trend
in Ireland. The at-home channel continues to show good performance.

Energy was the best performing category this quarter, with volumes growing in the
low twenties. Stills grew by double digits, mainly driven by Water, which benefited
from the out-of-home channel reopening, where the category over-indexes. Sparkling
volumes grew mid-single digits, with high-single digit growth in low/no sugar offerings
and double-digit growth from Adult sparkling.

In Italy, volumes increased by high-single digits. Volumes benefitted from easing
restrictions in the out-of-home channel in Q3 and continued momentum in the at-home
channel. We saw high-single digit volume growth in Sparkling led by Trademark Coke
and Energy, and high-single digit growth in Stills boosted by Fuze Tea.

Volumes in Greece grew by mid twenties. The performance was supported by better 
than expected tourism trends and easing of travel restrictions in the summer, benefitting
both the out-of-home and at-home channels. We saw volume growth in the low thirties
in Stills and mid-teens volume growth in Sparkling driven by Coke Zero and Adult
sparkling.

In Switzerland, volumes declined by mid-single digits. The weaker performance reflects
poor summer weather and limited international tourism. Stills finished with double-
digit declines while Sparkling closed down mid-single digits.

In Ireland, volumes grew by mid-single digits. Volumes benefitted from good performance
in the at-home channel, as well as a recovery in the out-of-home channel. Stills
volumes grew by high twenties. The Sparkling category grew low-single digits overall,
with double-digit growth in Adult sparkling.

FX-neutral net sales revenue per case increased by 1.7%. We benefited from favourable
package and channel mix, as well as pricing actions, while category mix was negative
given the strength of the recovery in Water. FX-neutral revenues grew by 9.8% in
the quarter, while reported revenue grew by 10.0%.

**Developing markets segment – volumes slightly ahead of 2019 despite volume impact
from Polish sugar tax  **

Volume in the Developing markets declined by 1.9%, finishing the quarter 0.6% ahead
of 2019 levels despite the impact of Poland, where pricing taken to offset the sugar
tax has led to anticipated volume declines. Energy volumes grew in the high teens
while Sparkling was down low single digits. Low/no sugar and Adult sparkling volumes
grew by mid teens.

In Poland, volumes continue to be impacted by pricing taken to offset the sugar 
tax which started from 1 January of the current year. Volume declines moderated 
during Q3 when compared to a 2019 base, finishing the quarter above 2019 levels.
The impact from the tax is progressing in line with expectations and we are encouraged
by both the strong performance of low/no sugar variants and market share gains.

In Hungary, volume increased high-single digits, helped by looser COVID-19 restrictions
compared to other countries in the segment, in part helped by high vaccination rates.
The country benefitted from excellent weather, with one of the warmest and driest
summers in recent years. We saw good growth in Sparkling with double-digit performance
in Adult sparkling as well as strong momentum in Energy.  

Volume in the Czech Republic declined in the low double digits, weighed down by 
commercial and operational challenges. As a result, all categories were in decline
during the period except for Energy, with volumes growing by low thirties. These
issues have now been resolved.

FX-neutral net sales revenue per case increased by 14.0%, propelled by pricing in
Poland. Excluding this impact, the segment’s price/mix growth would have been 4.0%.
The segment benefited from positive category and package mix while channel mix declined.
FX-neutral net sales revenue in the Developing markets was up 11.8% in the quarter,
while reported revenue increased by 11.0% impacted by adverse currency movements
in the Polish Zloty and Hungarian Forint. 

**Emerging markets segment – sustained strong performance despite higher comparators**

Emerging markets’ volume increased by 21.3%, with continued strong performance from
Nigeria, Russia, Ukraine and others. Sparkling volumes were up low twenties, while
Adult Sparkling and Energy performed very well in the quarter, both increasing high
double digits. Stills volumes were up mid-teens with strong performance from Water
led by Russia, and Juice led by Nigeria.

Russian volumes accelerated in Q3, with volumes up by mid twenties supported by 
very good weather and increased local tourism. All categories grew double digits,
with Sparkling up mid twenties supported by double-digit growth in Coke Regular 
and very strong performance of Coke Zero. Schweppes and Energy continued the good
momentum, with high double digit and mid-twenties volume growth respectively.

Nigerian performance gained momentum in Q3, with volume up mid thirties despite 
the double-digit comparator. Strength was broad based across categories and benefited
from robust demand, investment in capacity and distribution as well as segmented
execution. Sparkling grew by high thirties with very strong performance from Coke
Zero. The Energy category is developing rapidly in Nigeria and Predator, our affordable
proposition, is achieving solid market share gains and making a meaningful contribution
to Nigeria’s performance. Stills grew by low-double digits with a high-double digit
increase in Juice.

Volume in Romania increased by high-single digits benefiting from a continued recovery
in Stills, which grew by mid teens. Sparkling volumes grew mid-single digits, propelled
by mid-teens volume growth in Adult sparkling.

FX neutral net sales revenue per case was up 3.9%, benefiting from pricing as well
as positive category and package mix. FX-neutral revenues increased by 26.1%, while
reported revenues grew by 23.7% mainly due to the weakened Russian Rouble and Nigerian
Naira.

**Supplementary information**

| **Group** | **Third quarter 2021** | **Third quarter 2020** | **%Change** | **Nine months 2021** | **Nine months 2020** | **%Change** | 
| Volume (m in unit cases) | 694.2 | 613.7 | 13.1% | 1,820.9 | 1,604.2 | 13.5% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 2,124.3 | 1,829.4 | 16.1% | 5,372.2 | 4,660.6 | 15.3% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 3.06 | 2.98 | 2.7% | 2.95 | 2.91 | 1.6% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue¹ (€ m) | 2,124.3 | 1,813.6 | 17.1% | 5,372.2 | 4,501.4 | 19.3% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case¹ (€) | 3.06 | 2.96 | 3.5% | 2.95 | 2.81 | 5.1% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| **Established markets** |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Volume (m in unit cases) | 178.7 | 165.5 | 8.0% | 453.0 | 410.8 | 10.3% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 734.8 | 667.7 | 10.0% | 1,884.6 | 1,653.6 | 14.0% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 4.11 | 4.03 | 1.9% | 4.16 | 4.03 | 3.4% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue¹ (€ m) | 734.8 | 669.4 | 9.8% | 1,884.6 | 1,650.8 | 14.2% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case¹ (€) | 4.11 | 4.04 | 1.7% | 4.16 | 4.02 | 3.5% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| **Developing markets** |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Volume (m in unit cases) | 119.6 | 121.9 | -1.9% | 310.5 | 311.6 | -0.4% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 416.9 | 375.7 | 11.0% | 1,018.5 | 895.9 | 13.7% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 3.49 | 3.08 | 13.1% | 3.28 | 2.88 | 14.1% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue¹ (€ m) | 416.9 | 372.8 | 11.8% | 1,018.5 | 884.3 | 15.2% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case¹ (€) | 3.49 | 3.06 | 14.0% | 3.28 | 2.84 | 15.6% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| **Emerging markets** |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Volume (m in unit cases) | 395.9 | 326.3 | 21.3% | 1,057.4 | 881.8 | 19.9% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 972.6 | 786.0 | 23.7% | 2,469.1 | 2,111.1 | 17.0% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 2.46 | 2.41 | 2.0% | 2.34 | 2.39 | -2.5% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue¹ (€ m) | 972.6 | 771.4 | 26.1% | 2,469.1 | 1,966.3 | 25.6% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case¹ (€) | 2.46 | 2.36 | 3.9% | 2.34 | 2.23 | 4.7% |

_^(1 )__For details on APMs refer to ‘Alternative Performance Measures’ and ‘Definitions
and reconciliations __  __of APMs’ sections._

The volume, net sales revenue and net sales revenue per unit case on reported and
FX-neutral basis, are provided for NARTD and premium spirits, as set out below:

| **NARTD** | **Third quarter 2021** | **Third quarter 2020** | **%Change** | **Nine months 2021** | **Nine months 2020** | **%Change** | 
| Volume (m unit cases)^(2) | 693.2 | 612.9 | 13.1% | 1,818.5 | 1,602.5 | 13.5% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 2,060.0 | 1,781.2 | 15.7% | 5,220.3 | 4,553.2 | 14.7% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 2.97 | 2.91 | 2.3% | 2.87 | 2.84 | 1.0% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue (€ m) | 2,060.0 | 1,765.3 | 16.7% | 5,220.3 | 4,396.0 | 18.8% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 2.97 | 2.88 | 3.2% | 2.87 | 2.74 | 4.6% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| **Premium Spirits** |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Volume (m unit cases)^(2) | 1.013 | 0.750 | 35.1% | 2.371 | 1.660 | 42.8% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 64.3 | 48.2 | 33.4% | 151.9 | 107.4 | 41.4% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 63.47 | 64.27 | -1.2% | 64.07 | 64.70 | -1.0% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue (€ m) | 64.3 | 48.3 | 33.1% | 151.9 | 105.4 | 44.1% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 63.47 | 64.40 | -1.4% | 64.07 | 63.49 | 0.9% | 
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| **Total** |  |  |  |  |  |  | 
| Volume (m unit cases)^(2) | 694.2 | 613.7 | 13.1% | 1,820.9 | 1,604.2 | 13.5% | 
| Net sales revenue (€ m) | 2,124.3 | 1,829.4 | 16.1% | 5,372.2 | 4,660.6 | 15.3% | 
| Net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 3.06 | 2.98 | 2.7% | 2.95 | 2.91 | 1.6% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue (€ m) | 2,124.3 | 1,813.6 | 17.1% | 5,372.2 | 4,501.4 | 19.3% | 
| FX-neutral net sales revenue per unit case (€) | 3.06 | 2.96 | 3.5% | 2.95 | 2.81 | 5.1% |

_^(2 )__For NARTD volume, one unit case corresponds to approximately 5.678 litres
or 24 servings, being a typically used measure of volume. For premium spirits volume,
one unit case also corresponds to 5.678 litres. For biscuits volume, one unit case
corresponds to 1 kilogram._

**Conference call**

Coca-Cola HBC will host a conference call for financial analysts and investors to
discuss the 2021 Third quarter trading update on Wednesday, 3 November 2021 at 9:
00 am GMT. Interested parties can access the live, audio webcast of the call through
Coca-Cola HBC’s website [https://www.coca-colahellenic.com/en/investor-relations/results-reports-presentations](https://www.coca-colahellenic.com/en/investor-relations/results-reports-presentations).

**Next event**

|   17 February 2022 | 2021 Full year results |

Share on:
