# Beazley sees strong, double-digit premium growth across the business

- Link: https://www.directorstalkinterviews.com/beazley-sees-strong-double-digit-premium-growth-across-the-business/412935476
- Published: 2020-11-06T08:02:36+00:00
- Author: Amilia Stone

**Beazley plc **(LON:BEZ) has provided its trading statement for the nine months
ended 30 September 2020.

**Overview**

·      Gross premiums written increased by 16% to $2,534m (Q3 2019: $2,192m), ahead
of our expectations

·      Premium rates on renewal business increased by 14%

·      Covid-19 first party loss estimate remain unchanged at $340m net of reinsurance

·      Q3 catastrophe estimate of approximately $80m net of reinsurance

·      Investment return of $124m as at 30 September 2020 (Q3 2019: $215m)

> **Andrew Horton, Chief Executive Officer, said: **
> “We have seen strong, double-digit premium growth across our business as a whole
> so far this year, driven primarily by rate rises across all divisions. I am extremely
> proud of all Beazley employees who have shown commitment and resilience throughout
> this time whilst continuing to support our customers and deliver the excellent
> claims service we pride ourselves on.
> Pricing conditions are positive and we have the expertise and the capital in place
> to take advantage of these market conditions. We have great confidence in our 
> ability to deliver mid-teens growth next year and strong shareholder returns in
> 2021 and beyond.”

|  | 30 September 2020 | 30 September 2019 | % increase | 
| Gross premiums written ($m) | 2,534 | 2,192 | 16 | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| Investments and cash ($m) | 6,511 | 5,657 | 15 | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| Year to date investment return | 2.0% | 4.0% |  | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| Rate increase | 14% | 6% |  |

**Premiums**

Gross premiums written for the nine months ended 30 September 2020 increased by 
16% year on year to $2,534m achieved through a combination of rate increases, adding
exposure in a number of areas and taking underwriting remediation action on certain
areas of business. Growth has been achieved in most of our divisions.

Our performance to the end of September 2020 by business division is:

|  | Gross premiums written 30 September 2020  | Gross premiums written 30 September 2019  | % increase/ (decrease) | Year to date Rate change | 
|  | $m | $m | % | % | 
| Cyber & executive risk | 686 | 567 | 21% | 16% | 
| Marine | 256 | 231 | 11% | 18% | 
| Market facilities | 96 | 34 | 182% | 12% | 
| Political, accident & contingency | 205 | 204 | – | 4% | 
| Property | 354 | 337 | 5% | 16% | 
| Reinsurance | 192 | 191 | – | 11% | 
| Specialty lines | 745 | 628 | 19% | 13% | 
| OVERALL | 2,534 | 2,192 | 16% | 14% |

From 1 January 2020, the market facilities business has been split out of the specialty
lines division to form a separate division. The prior year comparatives have been
re-presented to allow comparison.

Our cyber & executive risk division achieved premium growth of 21% with particularly
strong rate rises driving the executive risk side as the market continues to respond
to the claims environment in directors’ & officers’ and employment practice liability.

Following a rebalancing of the account our marine division took advantage of improved
market conditions particularly in war, cargo and aviation, growing overall by 11%.

Elsewhere, our market facilities division grew 182% year on year albeit from a small
base. At the start of 2020, we decided to split out this business from specialty
lines into its own division.

The political, accident & contingency division remained steady year on year, with
growth dampened by significant market contractions particularly in political and
contingency due to COVID-19.

In the property division we saw an increase in premiums of 5% being the net result
of continued portfolio optimisation and growth supported by market wide rate increases.
The hardening of the global property market continues to be bolstered by a variety
of events including the effects of COVID-19, Australian and US wildfires and the
active 2020 hurricane season.

Whilst benefiting strongly from rate rises, reinsurance was also steady year on 
year driven by more selective underwriting.

Our specialty lines division saw premium growth of 19% when excluding the prior 
year inclusion of market facilities business which at the start of this year was
established as a standalone division. We have seen rate rises across the division
combined with strong volume growth particularly outside of the US.

**Business update**

We continue to actively engage in cycle management, ensuring we maintain a balanced
portfolio whilst fully capitalising on the opportunities. Rates are increasing in
most of our classes and in many areas are now at levels where the risk reward ratio
warrants writing materially more business. This is particularly true in directors’
and officers’ liability, despite the heightened risk environment, and most marine
classes of business where the teams are significantly growing market share. Off-
setting this, we continue to restrict appetite where there is particular exposure
to the impacts of social inflation, pandemic claims or a recession. The main areas
impacted by this are employment practices liability and some professional and healthcare
liability classes.

Ransomware attacks have continued to rise in 2020 and are now the dominant cyber
exposure faced by our clients. Malicious attacks are, unfortunately, not new but
have been increasingly prevalent in the last 18 months and we have been adjusting
our underwriting and risk management services accordingly. The investments we made
in using technology for threat detection are now being implemented and this enables
us, amongst other things, to scan our clients for vulnerabilities and actively underwrite
and help our clients remediate them. The market is currently repricing and restricting
coverage in response to these issues.

Our 2021 business plan for our syndicates has been approved by Lloyd’s, together
with the accompanying capital requirements. We are planning for mid-teens percentage
growth in 2021. We also plan to use reinsurance to manage growth in some of the 
more volatile lines, and so expect growth of around 10% net of reinsurance next 
year.

**Claims update**

We announced in September that our first party COVID-19 claims estimate was $340m
net of reinsurance, with almost all of the increase compared to our previous expectations
being caused by further event cancellation losses. This figure assumes a resumption
to some form of normality in the second half of 2021. Were this not to be the case,
we estimate that there is potential for a further $50m of claims net of reinsurance
to the end of 2021.

We have also considered the recent FCA judgement on business interruption wording
and do not expect this outcome to have a material impact on Beazley’s insurance 
business.

Our initial estimate of the costs of the third quarter catastrophe events including
hurricanes Laura and Sally and the wildfires in California is approximately $80m
net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums.

We have chosen to open our cyber reserves higher in response to the current claims
trends discussed in the business update. Our prudent and consistent approach to 
reserving continues and taking all the above into account we are expecting a full
year combined ratio of around 110% assuming normalised claims levels for the remainder
of the year.

**Capital update**

Capital surplus is measured with reference to the Lloyd’s economic capital requirement(
ECR), which considers requirements on an ultimate basis as well as incorporating
a further 35% uplift. This number already allows for the business we expect to write
through to the end of 2021 and the current forecast places us within our preferred
range of 15-25% above the ECR at the end of the year. We have a further unutilised
$225m banking facility which is available in addition.

**Investments**

Our portfolio allocation was as follows:

|  | 30 September 2020
Assets | 30 September 2020Allocation | 30 September 2019Assets | 30 September 2019Allocation | 
|  | $m | % | $m | % | 
| Cash and cash equivalents | 305.8 | 4.7 |         423.0 |             7.5 | 
| Fixed and floating rate debt securities |  |  |  |  | 
| –     Government, quasi-government and supranational | 2,726.0 | 41.8 |       2,003.0 |           35.4 | 
| –     Corporate bonds |  |  |  |  | 
| –     Investment grade | 2,598.8 | 39.9 | 2,411.6 | 42.6 | 
| –     High yield | 154.3 | 2.4 |         182.0 |             3.2 | 
| Syndicate loans | 17.0 | 0.3 |             7.4 |             0.1 | 
| Derivative financial assets | 18.4 | 0.3 |             3.0 |             0.1 | 
| Core portfolio | 5,820.3 | 89.4 |       5,030.0 |           88.9 | 
| Equity funds | 121.7 | 1.9 |         105.0 |             1.9 | 
| Hedge funds | 364.3 | 5.6 |         311.0 |             5.5 | 
| Illiquid credit assets | 204.5 | 3.1 |         211.0 |             3.7 | 
| Capital growth assets | 690.5 | 10.6 |         627.0 |           11.1 | 
| Total | 6,510.8 | 100.0 |     5,657.0 |        100.0 |

The year to date investment return to 30 September 2020 was $124m, or 2.7% annualised.
Risk assets continued to rally for much of the third quarter, helping add 0.6% to
our return in this period. US Sovereign bond yields remain very low, such that our
high quality fixed income assets are not likely to contribute materially to returns
in the near future. Our investment strategy remains cautious in view of continuing
uncertainty in the economic outlook. The yield on our core portfolio as at 30 September
2020 was 0.5% (31 December 2019: 2.1%).       

The weighted average duration of our fixed income portfolio was 2.0 years at 30 
September 2020 (30 September 2019: 1.9 years). 

**Conference call**

We will be hosting a conference call at 8am this morning, dial in details are below,
please join 5 minutes before the start:

Tel number: +44 (0) 20 3003 2666

Quote Beazley when prompted by the operator.        

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